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但是，中国滞胀对投资者意味着什么呢？But what does a Chinese stagflation means for investors?

正是79-82年的滞胀，使我成为了一个笃诚的“咸水派经济学家”2。It was 79-82 that made me a convinced saltwater economist.

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的确，为今天的滞胀种下祸根的正是各国央行。Indeed, central banks laid the foundations for today's stagflation.

我仍然认为，全球经济的主路是通向滞胀的。I still think that the central path for the global economy is stagflation.

这种状况也昭示，经济陷入滞胀给全球汽车业带来的威胁可能还会持续到明年。It also underscored how the stagnation threatening the auto industry world-wide likely will continue well into next year.

目前世界经济同时面对需求降低和供给减少，这种滞胀局面并不常见。It is not often that the world finds itself facing the stagflationary risk of lower demand and lower supply at the same time.

1972年和1974年，两座再次刷新世界纪录的摩天大楼相继落成，随后，全球经济发生了严重滞胀。The two record-breaking skyscrapers were completed in 1972 and 1974 respectively, with a severe global stagflation in their wakes.

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受美国联储局议息会议和滞胀忧虑，全球股市预料波动徧软向下。Global stock markets will likely be volatile with downward bias on US Fed Reserve meeting on interest rate and on stagflation concern.

从70年代中期开始，美国开始遭受“经济滞胀”即经济停滞与通货膨胀的同时出现。From the mid-seventies onwards , the U. S suffered from"stagflation", that is , the occurrence of stagnation and inflation at the same time.

1972年和1974年，两座再次刷新世界纪录的摩天大楼相继落成，随后，全球经济发生了严重滞胀。In 1972 and 1974, the two world-record-breaking skyscrapers were completed in turn, in the wake of them a serious global economic stagnation.

但是，把1960年代和1970年代拿来与现今作比较时不正确的，因为造成当时滞胀的那场经济危机目前并没有出现。But comparisons with the stagflation of the 1960s and 1970s are wrong because the main causes of that period's economic crises are not present today.

接下来，通胀预期将增强，长期政府债券收益率将上升，借款利率将急遽攀高，最终导致滞胀局面。Then, inflationary expectations will increase, long-term government bond yields would rise and borrowing rates will go up sharply, leading to stagflation.

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现在不抑制能源需求，后果就是今后更高的能源价格，其经济后果是持续的成本推动型通货膨胀甚至是滞胀。We do not curb energy demand, the result is the next higher energy prices, the economic consequences of a sustained cost-push inflation or even stagflation.

这不仅仅是滞胀的良方也是经济过热的良方，——我们将从中受到教训，包括衰退，但我们却一直无视它们。This is a recipe not for stagnation but rather for a metaboom in which we will receive warnings, including painful recessions — but consistently ignore them.

70年代的“滞胀”打破了这一稳定，货币学派、供给学派、理性预期等应运而起，这种百家争鸣的景象一直持续到今天。The stagflation broke the stabilization in 1970s, the Monetary School, the Supply-Side School and other schools follow the need of ages and become flourishing.

著名经济学家厉以宁上周五指出，中国经济当前面临着严峻的防止通货膨胀演变为滞胀的挑战。Li Yining , one of China's leading economists, said last Friday that China is facing a pressing challenge of preventing inflation from turning into stagflation.

遗憾的是，目前产出的增加是因为周期性的因素，并不会改变经济滞胀的长期趋势。OECD估计，潜在产出增长将会继续下降。Unfortunately, the current cyclical improvement in output will not reverse long-term stagnation. The OECD estimates that potential output growth will continue to decline.

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因此,调查表明投资者对通胀的忧虑下降,而最近几次调查均显示物价上涨和滞胀是主要担忧.One consequence of this is that the poll suggested inflation was a decreasing concern, in contrast to recent surveys that had shown price rises and stagflation as worries.

基于纯货币经济的分析方法，本文将中国的经济增长与通货膨胀归纳为一种含有非典型滞胀特征的经济现象。Based on a pure monetary economic analysis method, china's economic growth and inflation can be interpreted as an economic phenomenon with non-typical stagflation characters.

由于这一时期七国陷入“滞胀”危机，因此如何协调七国的经济政策，克服危机，实现经济复苏，成了这一时期西方七国首脑会议的主要议题。The seven countries failing into 'stagflation' crisis, how to collaborate every country' s economic policies in order to achieve economic recovery became summit' s main issues.